何小勤, 戴雪荣, 顾成军. 基于海图的崇明岛东滩近40年发育变化与趋势[J]. 海洋地质与第四纪地质, 2010, 30(4): 105-113. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1140.2010.04105
引用本文: 何小勤, 戴雪荣, 顾成军. 基于海图的崇明岛东滩近40年发育变化与趋势[J]. 海洋地质与第四纪地质, 2010, 30(4): 105-113. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1140.2010.04105
HE Xiaoqin, DAI Xuerong, GU Chengjun. GEOMORPHIC EVOLUTION OF EASTERN CHONGMING ISLAND DURING THE LAST 40 YEARS AND ITS FUTURE TREND,BASED ON THE SEA CHARTS COMPARISON[J]. Marine Geology & Quaternary Geology, 2010, 30(4): 105-113. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1140.2010.04105
Citation: HE Xiaoqin, DAI Xuerong, GU Chengjun. GEOMORPHIC EVOLUTION OF EASTERN CHONGMING ISLAND DURING THE LAST 40 YEARS AND ITS FUTURE TREND,BASED ON THE SEA CHARTS COMPARISON[J]. Marine Geology & Quaternary Geology, 2010, 30(4): 105-113. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1140.2010.04105

基于海图的崇明岛东滩近40年发育变化与趋势

GEOMORPHIC EVOLUTION OF EASTERN CHONGMING ISLAND DURING THE LAST 40 YEARS AND ITS FUTURE TREND,BASED ON THE SEA CHARTS COMPARISON

  • 摘要: 根据长江口及附近、南港水道及附近、吕四港至花鸟山、横沙岛至浏河口、长江口北部、横沙岛至浏河口等区域1958-2001年的10幅海图资料,借助GIS技术平台,对崇明岛东滩所在区的海图进行地图资料处理,并依据前人研究成果与2002-2003年的实地观测资料,从断面、轴线、平面等不同角度提取近40年来崇明岛东滩的冲淤变化特征与发育可能趋势等信息。结果表明:(1)近40年来崇明岛东滩0 m线约以150 m/a的速度整体向外扩展,但不同部位差异较大,东北部淤积速度远大于东南部;在不同时段上,冲淤变化存在一定差异,大体以20世纪80年代末为界线,前期崇明岛东滩的淤积速度远远快于后期。(2)崇明岛东滩的发育中心轴线由东南向东北逐年偏移的倾向,角速度达到0.56°/a;(3)基于这一时段的淤积扩展分析,如果影响崇明岛东滩发育因素变化不大,据推算在118年后,崇明岛东滩将可能与顾园沙相接,206年后崇明岛东滩将会与苏北岸堤相接;但因三峡大坝的兴建以及其他高强度自然与人工因素的干扰,崇明岛东滩向北淤积的速度可能会大大减小。(4)究其原因,主要与上游来沙、高强度人类活动(围垦、护岸工程)等密切相关。

     

    Abstract: According to the 10 sea charts from 1958 to 2001, covering the Yangtze river estuary and its southern Channel,and the areas from the Lusi Port to Huaniao Hill and from the Hengsha Island to the Liuhe River Estuary as well as the northern part of the Changjiang River Estuary, based on the data of observation from 2002 to 2003,the authors analyzed the erosion-accretion processes around the Eastern Chongming lsland over the past 40 years through the study of cross-sections, changes in island axis and areal variations, with the help of GIS. The results show that (1) in the past 40 years the Chongming Eastern Tidal Flat was under accretion and expanded by a rate of 150 m/a. The expansion in the north-east was faster than other parts. The erosion and deposition patterns are very different in different years. The evolution of the Eastern Chongming Island can be divided in two stages, a quick expansion from 1950's to 1980's, and a slow expansion from 1980's onward. During the later stage, erosion prevailed in some parts of the study area. (2) The axis of the Eastern Chongming Island migrated from the southeast to the north-east during the period by a rate 0.56°/a. (3) According to the results of the study, if the evolutionary trend remains unchanged, the Eastern Chongming Island may join with the Guyuan Island after 118 years and with the north Jiangsu Banks after 206 years. However, the process may slow down because of the change in sadiment budget caused by the consteruction of the Three Gorges Reservoir and other human impacts. (4) Human's activities,such as land reclamation,engineering construction,and the decrease in sediment supply of the Yangtze River have important effects on the evolution of the eastern Chongming tidal flat.

     

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